The University of Queensland

Cost–benefit analysis of ecosystem modeling to support fisheries management

Holden, Matthew H., Plagányi, Eva E., Fulton, Elizabeth A., Campbell, Alexander B., Janes, Rachel, Lovett, Robyn A., Wickens, Montana, Adams, Matthew P., Botelho, Larissa Lubiana, Dichmont, Catherine M., Erm, Philip, Helmstedt, Kate J., Heneghan, Ryan F., Mendiolar, Manuela, Richardson, Anthony J., Rogers, Jacob G. D., Saunders, Kate and Timms, Liam (2024). Cost–benefit analysis of ecosystem modeling to support fisheries management. Journal of Fish Biology. doi: 10.1111/jfb.15741

Spread management priorities to limit emerald ash borer (<i>Agrilus planipennis</i>) impacts on United States street trees

Hudgins, Emma J., Hanson, Jeffrey O., MacQuarrie, Chris J. K., Yemshanov, Denys, Baker, Christopher M., Chadès, Iadine, Holden, Matthew H., McDonald‐Madden, Eve and Bennett, Joseph R. (2024). Spread management priorities to limit emerald ash borer (Agrilus planipennis) impacts on United States street trees. Conservation Science and Practice, 6 (3) e13087. doi: 10.1111/csp2.13087

Marine protected areas can benefit biodiversity even when bycatch species only partially overlap fisheries

Erm, Philip, Balmford, Andrew, Krueck, Nils C., Takashina, Nao and Holden, Matthew H. (2024). Marine protected areas can benefit biodiversity even when bycatch species only partially overlap fisheries. Journal of Applied Ecology, 61 (4), 621-632. doi: 10.1111/1365-2664.14595

Optimizing protected area expansion and enforcement to conserve exploited species

Timms, Liam and Holden, Matthew H. (2024). Optimizing protected area expansion and enforcement to conserve exploited species. Biological Conservation, 290 110463, 110463. doi: 10.1016/j.biocon.2024.110463

The house of a thousand species: The untapped potential of comprehensive biodiversity censuses of urban properties

Rogers, Andrew M., Yong, Russell Q.‐Y. and Holden, Matthew H. (2023). The house of a thousand species: The untapped potential of comprehensive biodiversity censuses of urban properties. Ecology, 105 (2) e4225, e4225. doi: 10.1002/ecy.4225

Overcoming the impossibility of age-balanced harvest

Filar, Jerzy A., Holden, Matthew H., Mendiolar, Manuela and Streipert, Sabrina H. (2023). Overcoming the impossibility of age-balanced harvest. Mathematical Biosciences, 367 109111, 109111. doi: 10.1016/j.mbs.2023.109111

Is mushy tuna syndrome a growing problem for the tuna industry?

Peter, Soni Maria Jacob, Blomberg, Simone P., Holden, Matthew H., Hoffman, Louwrens C. and Tibbetts, Ian R. (2023). Is mushy tuna syndrome a growing problem for the tuna industry?. Foods, 12 (19) 3590, 1-11. doi: 10.3390/foods12193590

The biodiversity benefits of marine protected areas in well-regulated fisheries

Erm, Philip, Balmford, Andrew and Holden, Matthew H. (2023). The biodiversity benefits of marine protected areas in well-regulated fisheries. Biological Conservation, 284 110049, 1-9. doi: 10.1016/j.biocon.2023.110049

MOO-GAPS: A multi-objective optimization model for global animal production and sustainability

Castonguay, Adam C., Polasky, Stephen, Holden, Matthew H., Herrero, Mario, Chang, Jinfeng, Mason-D’Croz, Daniel, Godde, Cecile, Lee, Katie, Bryan, Brett A., Gerber, James, Game, Edward T. and McDonald-Madden, Eve (2023). MOO-GAPS: A multi-objective optimization model for global animal production and sustainability. Journal of Cleaner Production, 396 136440, 1-13. doi: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2023.136440

Navigating sustainability trade-offs in global beef production

Castonguay, Adam C., Polasky, Stephen, H. Holden, Matthew, Herrero, Mario, Mason-D’Croz, Daniel, Godde, Cecile, Chang, Jinfeng, Gerber, James, Witt, G. Bradd, Game, Edward T., A. Bryan, Brett, Wintle, Brendan, Lee, Katie, Bal, Payal and McDonald-Madden, Eve (2023). Navigating sustainability trade-offs in global beef production. Nature Sustainability, 6 (3), 284-294. doi: 10.1038/s41893-022-01017-0

Modeling total predation to avoid perverse outcomes from cat control in a data‐poor island ecosystem

Plein, Michaela, O'Brien, Katherine R., Holden, Matthew H., Adams, Matthew P., Baker, Christopher M., Bean, Nigel G., Sisson, Scott A., Bode, Michael, Mengersen, Kerrie L. and McDonald‐Madden, Eve (2022). Modeling total predation to avoid perverse outcomes from cat control in a data‐poor island ecosystem. Conservation Biology, 36 (5) e13916. doi: 10.1111/cobi.13916

From climate change to pandemics: decision science can help scientists have impact

Baker, Christopher M., Campbell, Patricia T., Chades, Iadine, Dean, Angela J., Hester, Susan M., Holden, Matthew H., McCaw, James M., McVernon, Jodie, Moss, Robert, Shearer, Freya M. and Possingham, Hugh P. (2022). From climate change to pandemics: decision science can help scientists have impact. Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution, 10 792749. doi: 10.3389/fevo.2022.792749

Invasive wild pigs (Sus scrofa) as a human‐mediated source of soil carbon emissions: Uncertainties and future directions

O’Bryan, Christopher J., Patton, Nicholas R., Hone, Jim, Lewis, Jesse S., Berdejo‐Espinola, Violeta, Risch, Derek R., Holden, Matthew H. and McDonald‐Madden, Eve (2021). Invasive wild pigs (Sus scrofa) as a human‐mediated source of soil carbon emissions: Uncertainties and future directions. Global Change Biology, 28 (3), e1-e3. doi: 10.1111/gcb.15992

Unrecognized threat to global soil carbon by a widespread invasive species

O’Bryan, Christopher J., Patton, Nicholas R., Hone, Jim, Lewis, Jesse S., Berdejo‐Espinola, Violeta, Risch, Derek R., Holden, Matthew H. and McDonald‐Madden, Eve (2021). Unrecognized threat to global soil carbon by a widespread invasive species. Global Change Biology, 28 (3) gcb.15769, 1-6. doi: 10.1111/gcb.15769

Poacher-population dynamics when legal trade of naturally deceased organisms funds anti-poaching enforcement

Holden, Matthew H. and Lockyer, Jakeb (2021). Poacher-population dynamics when legal trade of naturally deceased organisms funds anti-poaching enforcement. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 517 110618, 1-10. doi: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2021.110618

Assessing the accuracy of density‐independent demographic models for predicting species ranges

Holden, Matthew H., Yen, Jian D. L., Briscoe, Natalie J., Lahoz‐Monfort, José J., Salguero‐Gómez, Roberto, Vesk, Peter A. and Guillera‐Arroita, Gurutzeta (2020). Assessing the accuracy of density‐independent demographic models for predicting species ranges. Ecography, 44 (3), 345-357. doi: 10.1111/ecog.05250

Intense human pressure is widespread across terrestrial vertebrate ranges

O'Bryan, Christopher J., Allan, James R., Holden, Matthew, Sanderson, Christopher, Venter, Oscar, Di Marco, Moreno, McDonald-Madden, Eve and Watson, James E.M. (2020). Intense human pressure is widespread across terrestrial vertebrate ranges. Global Ecology and Conservation, 21 e00882, e00882. doi: 10.1016/j.gecco.2019.e00882

Informing management decisions for ecological networks, using dynamic models calibrated to noisy time-series data

Adams, Matthew P., Sisson, Scott A., Helmstedt, Kate J., Baker, Christopher M., Michaela Plein, Holden, Matthew H., Holloway, Jacinta, Mengersen, Kerrie L. and McDonald-Madden, Eve (2020). Informing management decisions for ecological networks, using dynamic models calibrated to noisy time-series data. Ecology Letters, 23 (4) ele.13465, 607-619. doi: 10.1111/ele.13465

Forecasting species range dynamics with process‐explicit models: matching methods to applications

Briscoe, Natalie J., Elith, Jane, Salguero‐Gómez, Roberto, Lahoz‐Monfort, José J., Camac, James S., Giljohann, Katherine M., Holden, Matthew H., Hradsky, Bronwyn A., Kearney, Michael R., McMahon, Sean M., Phillips, Ben L., Regan, Tracey J., Rhodes, Jonathan R., Vesk, Peter A., Wintle, Brendan A., Yen, Jian D.L. and Guillera‐Arroita, Gurutzeta (2019). Forecasting species range dynamics with process‐explicit models: matching methods to applications. Ecology Letters, 22 (11) ele.13348, 1940-1956. doi: 10.1111/ele.13348

How conservation initiatives go to scale

Mills, Morena, Bode, Michael, Mascia, Michael B., Weeks, Rebecca, Gelcich, Stefan, Dudley, Nigel, Govan, Hugh, Archibald, Carla L., Romero-de-Diego, Cristina, Holden, Matthew, Biggs, Duan, Glew, Louise, Naidoo, Robin and Possingham, Hugh P. (2019). How conservation initiatives go to scale. Nature Sustainability, 2 (10), 935-940. doi: 10.1038/s41893-019-0384-1

Foreword to the Special Issue on Natural Resource Mathematics

Holden, Matthew H., Lee, Sharon and Yang, Wen-Hsi (2019). Foreword to the Special Issue on Natural Resource Mathematics. Environmental Modeling and Assessment, 24 (4), 365-367. doi: 10.1007/s10666-019-09677-7

A framework to evaluate animal welfare implications of policies on rhino horn trade

Derkley, Tessa, Biggs, Duan, Holden, Matthew and Phillips, Clive (2019). A framework to evaluate animal welfare implications of policies on rhino horn trade. Biological Conservation, 235, 236-249. doi: 10.1016/j.biocon.2019.05.004

The mesoscavenger release hypothesis and implications for ecosystem and human well‐being

O'Bryan, Christopher J., Holden, Matthew H. and Watson, James E.M. (2019). The mesoscavenger release hypothesis and implications for ecosystem and human well‐being. Ecology Letters, 22 (9) ele.13288, 1340-1348. doi: 10.1111/ele.13288

Reply to ‘Consider species specialism when publishing datasets’ and ‘Decision trees for data publishing may exacerbate conservation conflict’

Tulloch, Ayesha I. T., Auerbach, Nancy, Avery-Gomm, Stephanie, Dickman, Chris R., Fisher, Diana O., Grantham, Hedley, Holden, Matthew H., Lavery, Tyrone H., Leseberg, Nicholas P., O’Connor, James, Roberson, Leslie, Smyth, Anita K., Stone, Zoe, Tulloch, Vivitskaia, Turak, Eren, Watson, James E. M. and Wardle, Glenda M. (2019). Reply to ‘Consider species specialism when publishing datasets’ and ‘Decision trees for data publishing may exacerbate conservation conflict’. Nature Ecology and Evolution, 3 (3), 320-321. doi: 10.1038/s41559-019-0805-6

Increase anti-poaching law-enforcement or reduce demand for wildlife products?: a framework to guide strategic conservation investments

Holden, Matthew H., Biggs, Duan, Brink, Henry, Bal, Payal, Rhodes, Jonathan and McDonald-Madden, Eve (2018). Increase anti-poaching law-enforcement or reduce demand for wildlife products?: a framework to guide strategic conservation investments. Conservation Letters, 12 (3) e12618, e12618. doi: 10.1111/conl.12618

A decision tree for assessing the risks and benefits of publishing biodiversity data

Tulloch, Ayesha I. T., Auerbach, Nancy, Avery-Gomm, Stephanie, Bayraktarov, Elisa, Butt, Nathalie, Dickman, Chris R., Ehmke, Glenn, Fisher, Diana O., Grantham, Hedley, Holden, Matthew H., Lavery, Tyrone H., Leseberg, Nicholas P., Nicholls, Miles, O'Connor, James, Roberson, Leslie, Smyth, Anita K., Stone, Zoe, Tulloch, Vivitskaia, Turak, Eren, Wardle, Glenda M. and Watson, James E. M. (2018). A decision tree for assessing the risks and benefits of publishing biodiversity data. Nature Ecology and Evolution, 2 (8), 1209-1217. doi: 10.1038/s41559-018-0608-1

Informing network management using fuzzy cognitive maps

Baker, Christopher M., Holden, Matthew H., Plein, Michaela, McCarthy, Michael A. and Possingham, Hugh P. (2018). Informing network management using fuzzy cognitive maps. Biological Conservation, 224, 122-128. doi: 10.1016/j.biocon.2018.05.031

Reach and messages of the world's largest ivory burn

Braczkowski, Alexander, Holden, Matthew H., O'Bryan, Christopher, Choi, Chi-Yeung, Gan, Xiaojing, Beesley, Nicholas, Gao, Yufang, Allan, James, Tyrrell, Peter, Stiles, Daniel, Brehony, Peadar, Meney, Revocatus, Brink, Henry, Takashina, Nao, Lin, Ming-Ching, Lin, Hsien-Yung, Rust, Niki, Salmo, Severino G., Watson, James Em, Kahumbu, Paula, Maron, Martine, Possingham, Hugh P. and Biggs, Duan (2018). Reach and messages of the world's largest ivory burn. Conservation Biology, 32 (4), 765-773. doi: 10.1111/cobi.13097

Ivory crisis: role of bioprinting technology (Response)

Biggs, Duan, Smith, Robert J., Adams, Vanessa M., Brink, Henry, Cook, Carly N., Cooney, Rosie, Holden, Matthew H., Maron, Martine, Phelps, Jacob, Possingham, Hugh P., Redford, Kent H., Scholes, Robert J., Sutherland, William J., Underwood, Fiona M. and Milner-Gulland, E. J. (2018). Ivory crisis: role of bioprinting technology (Response). Science, 360 (6386), 277-278. doi: 10.1126/science.aat1596

Ocean zoning within a sparing versus sharing framework

McGowan, Jennifer, Bode, Michael, Holden, Matthew H., Davis, Katrina, Krueck, Nils C., Beger, Maria, Yates, Katherine L. and Possingham, Hugh P. (2018). Ocean zoning within a sparing versus sharing framework. Theoretical Ecology, 11 (2), 245-254. doi: 10.1007/s12080-017-0364-x

Breaking the deadlock on ivory

Biggs, Duan, Holden, Matthew H., Braczkowski, Alex, Cook, Carly N., Milner-Gulland, E. J., Phelps, Jacob, Scholes, Robert J., Smith, Robert J., Underwood, Fiona M., Adams, Vanessa M., Allan, James, Brink, H., Cooney, R., Gao, Y., Hutton, J., Macdonald-Madden, Eve, Maron, Martine, Redford, Kent H., Sutherland, William J. and Possingham, Hugh P. (2017). Breaking the deadlock on ivory. Science, 358 (6369), 1378-1381. doi: 10.1126/science.aan5215

Projecting the performance of conservation interventions

Law, Elizabeth A., Ferraro, Paul J., Arcese, Peter, Bryan, Brett A., Davis, Katrina, Gordon, Ascelin, Holden, Matthew H., Iacona, Gwenllian, Marcos Martinez, Raymundo, McAlpine, Clive A., Rhodes, Jonathan R., Sze, Jocelyne S. and Wilson, Kerrie A. (2017). Projecting the performance of conservation interventions. Biological Conservation, 215, 142-151. doi: 10.1016/j.biocon.2017.08.029

Conservation from the grave: human burials to fund the conservation of threatened species

Holden, Matthew H. and McDonald-Madden, Eve (2017). Conservation from the grave: human burials to fund the conservation of threatened species. Conservation Letters, 11 (1) e12421, e12421. doi: 10.1111/conl.12421

High prices for rare species can drive large populations extinct: the anthropogenic Allee effect revisited

Holden, Matthew H. and McDonald-Madden, Eve (2017). High prices for rare species can drive large populations extinct: the anthropogenic Allee effect revisited. Journal of Theoretical Biology, 429, 170-180. doi: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2017.06.019

Academic conferences urgently need environmental policies

Holden, Matthew H., Butt, Nathalie, Chauvenet, Alienor, Plein, Michaela, Stringer, Martin and Chades, Iadine (2017). Academic conferences urgently need environmental policies. Nature Ecology and Evolution, 1 (9), 1211-1212. doi: 10.1038/s41559-017-0296-2

Human judgment vs quantitative models for the management of ecological resources

Holden, Matthew H. and Ellner, Stephen P. (2016). Human judgment vs quantitative models for the management of ecological resources. Ecological Applications, 26 (5), 1553-1565. doi: 10.1890/15-1295

Elephant poaching: track the impact of Kenya's ivory burn

Biggs, Duan, Holden, Matthew H., Braczkowski, Alexander R. and Possingham, Hugh P. (2016). Elephant poaching: track the impact of Kenya's ivory burn. Nature, 534 (7606), 179-179. doi: 10.1038/534179a

The economic benefit of time-varying surveillance effort for invasive species management

Holden, Matthew H., Nyrop, Jan P. and Ellner, Stephen P. (2016). The economic benefit of time-varying surveillance effort for invasive species management. Journal of Applied Ecology, 53 (3), 712-721. doi: 10.1111/1365-2664.12617

Optimal escapement in stage-structured fisheries with environmental stochasticity

Holden, Matthew H. and Conrad, Jon M. (2015). Optimal escapement in stage-structured fisheries with environmental stochasticity. Mathematical Biosciences, 269, 76-85. doi: 10.1016/j.mbs.2015.08.021

Optimal control and cold war dynamics between plant and herbivore

Low, Candace, Ellner, Stephen P. and Holden, Matthew H. (2013). Optimal control and cold war dynamics between plant and herbivore. American Naturalist, 182 (2), E25-E39. doi: 10.1086/670810

Designing an effective trap cropping strategy: the effects of attraction, retention and plant spatial distribution

Holden, Matthew H., Ellner, Stephen P., Lee, Doo-Hyung, Nyrop, Jan P. and Sanderson, John P. (2012). Designing an effective trap cropping strategy: the effects of attraction, retention and plant spatial distribution. Journal of Applied Ecology, 49 (3), 715-722. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2664.2012.02137.x

Estimating recreational catch

Mendiolar, Manuela, Filar, Jerzy A., O'Neill, Michael F., Martin, Tyson, Teixeira, Daniella, Webley, James and Holden, Matthew (2023). Estimating recreational catch. 25th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, Darwin, NT Australia, 9 to 14 July 2023. Canberra, ACT Australia: Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand. doi: 10.36334/modsim.2023.mendiolar

Los jabalíes, una de las especies invasoras más dañinas, liberan cada año las mismas emisiones que un millón de automoviles

O'Bryan, Christopher J., McDonald-Madden, Eve, Hone, Jim, Holden, Matthew H. and Patton, Nicholas R. (2021, 07 23). Los jabalíes, una de las especies invasoras más dañinas, liberan cada año las mismas emisiones que un millón de automoviles The Conversation

‘One of the most damaging invasive species on Earth’: wild pigs release the same emissions as 1 million cars each year

O'Bryan, Christopher J., McDonald-Madden, Eve, Hone, Jim , Holden, Matthew H. and Nicholas R. Patton (2021, 07 20). ‘One of the most damaging invasive species on Earth’: wild pigs release the same emissions as 1 million cars each year The Conversation

Custom training and technical support for the fishery stock assessment software ‘stock synthesis’

O'Neill, M. F., Lovett, R., Bessell-Browne, P., Streipert, S., Leigh, G., Campbell, A., Northrop, A., Wortmann, J., Helidoniotis, F., Yang, W. H., Holden, M. and French, S. (2020). Custom training and technical support for the fishery stock assessment software ‘stock synthesis’. Brisbane, QLD, Australia: Department of Agriculture and Fisheries, Queensland.

Data for "Assessing Monitoring Program Design Options for Koalas in South East Queensland"

Rhodes, Jonathan and Holden, Matthew (2020). Data for "Assessing Monitoring Program Design Options for Koalas in South East Queensland". The University of Queensland. (Dataset) doi: 10.14264/7288e73

Harvest strategies for the Torres Strait Finfish fishery

Hutton, Trevor, O’Neill, Michael, Leigh, George, Holden, Matt and Deng, Roy (2019). Harvest strategies for the Torres Strait Finfish fishery. Canberra, ACT, Australia: Australian Government Australian Fisheries Management Authority.

Ivory up in flames, but who really noticed? How messages on elephant poaching might be missed

Holden, Matthew H., Braczkowski, Alexander Richard, O'Bryan, Christopher, Biggs, Duan, Possingham, Hugh, Allan, James and Watson, James (2018, 03 12). Ivory up in flames, but who really noticed? How messages on elephant poaching might be missed The Conversation

Human judgment vs. quantitative models for the management of ecological resources

Holden, Matthew H (2016). Human judgment vs. quantitative models for the management of ecological resources. Dryad Digital Repository. (Dataset)