The University of Queensland

An interoceptive walk down Wall Street

Newell, Anthony and Page, Lionel (2019). An interoceptive walk down Wall Street. Biophysical measurement in experimental social science research: Theory and Practice. (pp. 149-165) edited by Gigi Foster. London, United Kingdom: Academic Press. doi: 10.1016/b978-0-12-813092-6.00006-x

Biology of financial market instability

Coates, John and Page, Lionel (2016). Biology of financial market instability. The new Palgrave dictionary of economics. (pp. 1-10) London, United Kingdom: Palgrave Macmillan UK. doi: 10.1057/978-1-349-95121-5_3023-1

Expertise, gender, and equilibrium play

Gauriot, Romain, Page, Lionel and Wooders, John (2023). Expertise, gender, and equilibrium play. Quantitative Economics, 14 (3), 981-1020. doi: 10.3982/qe1563

Too big to prevail: the paradox of power in coalition formation

Ke, Changxia, Morath, Florian, Newell, Anthony and Page, Lionel (2022). Too big to prevail: the paradox of power in coalition formation. Games and Economic Behavior, 135, 394-410. doi: 10.1016/j.geb.2022.04.006

How success breeds success

Descamps, Ambroise, Ke, Changxia and Page, Lionel (2022). How success breeds success. Quantitative Economics, 13 (1), 355-385. doi: 10.3982/QE1679

The replication crisis, the rise of new research practices and what it means for experimental economics

Page, Lionel, Noussair, Charles N. and Slonim, Robert (2021). The replication crisis, the rise of new research practices and what it means for experimental economics. Journal of the Economic Science Association, 7 (2), 210-225. doi: 10.1007/s40881-021-00107-7

Absolute versus relative success: why overconfidence creates an inefficient equilibrium

Soldà, Alice, Ke, Changxia, von Hippel, William and Page, Lionel (2021). Absolute versus relative success: why overconfidence creates an inefficient equilibrium. Psychological Science, 32 (10), 1663-1674. doi: 10.1177/09567976211007414

How much information is incorporated into financial asset prices? Experimental evidence

Page, Lionel and Siemroth, Christoph (2021). How much information is incorporated into financial asset prices? Experimental evidence. Review of Financial Studies, 34 (9), 4412-4449. doi: 10.1093/rfs/hhaa143

Driving a hard bargain is a balancing act: how social preferences constrain the negotiation process

Engler, Yola and Page, Lionel (2021). Driving a hard bargain is a balancing act: how social preferences constrain the negotiation process. Theory and Decision, 93 (1), 7-36. doi: 10.1007/s11238-021-09835-y

Learning to hesitate

Descamps, Ambroise, Massoni, Sébastien and Page, Lionel (2021). Learning to hesitate. Experimental Economics, 25 (1), 359-383. doi: 10.1007/s10683-021-09718-7

Introduction: Behavioural science and regulation on disclosure and consumer protection

Page, Lionel (2021). Introduction: Behavioural science and regulation on disclosure and consumer protection. Behavioural Public Policy, 5 (2), 222-224. doi: 10.1017/bpp.2019.33

Examining the impact of car-sharing on private vehicle ownership

Zhou, Fan, Zheng, Zuduo, Whitehead, Jake, Perrons, Robert K., Washington, Simon and Page, Lionel (2020). Examining the impact of car-sharing on private vehicle ownership. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 138, 322-341. doi: 10.1016/j.tra.2020.06.003

Assessing the unidimensionality of political opinions. An indirect test of the persuasion bias

Page, Lionel (2020). Assessing the unidimensionality of political opinions. An indirect test of the persuasion bias. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 174, 469-477. doi: 10.1016/j.jebo.2019.11.003

Using digital technologies to deliver scenarios to geographically dispersed stakeholders: lessons learned from the transportation sector

Hew, Aiwen, Perrons, Robert K., Washington, Simon, Page, Lionel and Zheng, Zuduo (2020). Using digital technologies to deliver scenarios to geographically dispersed stakeholders: lessons learned from the transportation sector. Futures, 120 102567, 102567. doi: 10.1016/j.futures.2020.102567

Preference heterogeneity in mode choice for car-sharing and shared automated vehicles

Zhou, Fan, Zheng, Zuduo, Whitehead, Jake, Washington, Simon, Perrons, Robert K. and Page, Lionel (2020). Preference heterogeneity in mode choice for car-sharing and shared automated vehicles. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 132, 633-650. doi: 10.1016/j.tra.2019.12.004

Long-lasting effects of relative age at school

Page, Lionel, Sarkar, Dipanwita and Silva-Goncalves, Juliana (2019). Long-lasting effects of relative age at school. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 168, 166-195. doi: 10.1016/j.jebo.2019.10.005

Fooled by performance randomness: verrewarding luck

Gauriot, Romain and Page, Lionel (2019). Fooled by performance randomness: verrewarding luck. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 101 (4), 658-666. doi: 10.1162/rest_a_00783

Long-term forecasts for energy commodities price: what the experts think

Zhou, Fan, Page, Lionel, Perrons, Robert K., Zheng, Zuduo and Washington, Simon (2019). Long-term forecasts for energy commodities price: what the experts think. Energy Economics, 84 104484, 104484. doi: 10.1016/j.eneco.2019.104484

Does success breed success? A quasi-experiment on strategic momentum in dynamic contests

Gauriot, Romain and Page, Lionel (2019). Does success breed success? A quasi-experiment on strategic momentum in dynamic contests. The Economic Journal, 129 (624), 3107-3136. doi: 10.1093/ej/uez040

Strategically delusional

Soldà, Alice, Ke, Changxia, Page, Lionel and von Hippel, William (2019). Strategically delusional. Experimental Economics, 23 (3), 604-631. doi: 10.1007/s10683-019-09636-9

The heritability of fertility makes world population stabilization unlikely in the foreseeable future

Collins, Jason and Page, Lionel (2019). The heritability of fertility makes world population stabilization unlikely in the foreseeable future. Evolution and Human Behavior, 40 (1), 105-111. doi: 10.1016/j.evolhumbehav.2018.09.001

Thinking together about the future when you are not together: the effectiveness of using developed scenarios among geographically distributed groups

Hew, Aiwen, Perrons, Robert K., Washington, Simon, Page, Lionel and Zheng, Zudou (2018). Thinking together about the future when you are not together: the effectiveness of using developed scenarios among geographically distributed groups. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 133, 206-219. doi: 10.1016/j.techfore.2018.04.005

Guilt averse or reciprocal? Looking at behavioral motivations in the trust game

Engler, Yola, Kerschbamer, Rudolf and Page, Lionel (2018). Guilt averse or reciprocal? Looking at behavioral motivations in the trust game. Journal of the Economic Science Association, 4 (1), 1-14. doi: 10.1007/s40881-018-0051-8

Psychological momentum in contests: the case of scoring before half-time in football

Gauriot, Romain and Page, Lionel (2018). Psychological momentum in contests: the case of scoring before half-time in football. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 149, 137-168. doi: 10.1016/j.jebo.2018.02.015

Investigating gender differences under time pressure in financial risk taking

Xie, Zhixin, Page, Lionel and Hardy, Ben (2017). Investigating gender differences under time pressure in financial risk taking. Frontiers in Behavioral Neuroscience, 11 246. doi: 10.3389/fnbeh.2017.00246

Do agents maximise? Risk taking on first and second serves in tennis

Ely, Jeffrey, Gauriot, Romain and Page, Lionel (2017). Do agents maximise? Risk taking on first and second serves in tennis. Journal of Economic Psychology, 63, 135-142. doi: 10.1016/j.joep.2017.02.006

Economics and psychology of contests

Ke, Changxia, Page, Lionel and Sheremeta, Roman (2017). Economics and psychology of contests. Journal of Economic Psychology, 63, 83-85. doi: 10.1016/j.joep.2017.11.002

The older the bolder: does relative age among peers influence children's preference for competition?

Page, Lionel, Sarkar, Dipanwita and Silva-Goncalves, Juliana (2017). The older the bolder: does relative age among peers influence children's preference for competition?. Journal of Economic Psychology, 63, 43-81. doi: 10.1016/j.joep.2017.10.002

Can a common currency foster a shared social identity across different nations? The case of the euro

Buscha, Franz, Muller, Daniel and Page, Lionel (2017). Can a common currency foster a shared social identity across different nations? The case of the euro. European Economic Review, 100, 318-336. doi: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2017.08.011

Projected prevalence of car-sharing in four Asian-Pacific countries in 2030: what the experts think

Zhou, Fan, Zheng, Zuduo, Whitehead, Jake, Perrons, Robert, Page, Lionel and Washington, Simon (2017). Projected prevalence of car-sharing in four Asian-Pacific countries in 2030: what the experts think. Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies, 84, 158-177. doi: 10.1016/j.trc.2017.08.023

Winner and loser effects in human competitions. Evidence from equally matched tennis players

Page, Lionel and Coates, John (2017). Winner and loser effects in human competitions. Evidence from equally matched tennis players. Evolution and Human Behavior, 38 (4), 530-535. doi: 10.1016/j.evolhumbehav.2017.02.003

Human studies: reforms overdue for ethical reviewing

Page, Lionel and Page, Katie (2017). Human studies: reforms overdue for ethical reviewing. Nature, 544 (7649) 161, 161-161. doi: 10.1038/544161d

Why did he do that? Using counterfactuals to study the effect of intentions in extensive form games

Engler, Yola, Kerschbamer, Rudolf and Page, Lionel (2017). Why did he do that? Using counterfactuals to study the effect of intentions in extensive form games. Experimental Economics, 21 (1), 1-26. doi: 10.1007/s10683-017-9522-7

An experimental analysis of information acquisition in prediction markets

Page, Lionel and Siemroth, Christoph (2017). An experimental analysis of information acquisition in prediction markets. Games and Economic Behavior, 101, 354-378. doi: 10.1016/j.geb.2015.11.002

Effects of language proficiency on labour, social and health outcomes of immigrants in Australia

Tam, King Wa and Page, Lionel (2016). Effects of language proficiency on labour, social and health outcomes of immigrants in Australia. Economic Analysis and Policy, 52, 66-78. doi: 10.1016/j.eap.2016.08.003

Interoceptive ability predicts survival on a London trading floor

Kandasamy, Narayanan, Garfinkel, Sarah N., Page, Lionel, Hardy, Ben, Critchley, Hugo D., Gurnell, Mark and Coates, John M. (2016). Interoceptive ability predicts survival on a London trading floor. Scientific Reports, 6 (1) 32986. doi: 10.1038/srep32986

Understanding how consumer education impacts shoppers over time: a longitudinal field study of unit price usage

Weeks, Clinton S., Mortimer, Gary and Page, Lionel (2016). Understanding how consumer education impacts shoppers over time: a longitudinal field study of unit price usage. Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, 32, 198-209. doi: 10.1016/j.jretconser.2016.06.012

Born leaders: Political selection and the relative age effect in the US Congress

Muller, Daniel and Page, Lionel (2016). Born leaders: Political selection and the relative age effect in the US Congress. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A: Statistics in Society, 179 (3), 809-829. doi: 10.1111/rssa.12154

Detecting deceptive behaviour after the fact

von Hippel, William, Baker, Ernest, Wilson, Robbie, Brin, Loic and Page, Lionel (2016). Detecting deceptive behaviour after the fact. British Journal of Social Psychology, 55 (2), 195-205. doi: 10.1111/bjso.12129

Subjective beliefs about the income distribution and preferences for redistribution

Page, Lionel and Goldstein, Daniel G. (2016). Subjective beliefs about the income distribution and preferences for redistribution. Social Choice and Welfare, 47 (1), 25-61. doi: 10.1007/s00355-015-0945-9

A new approach to measure tactical voting: evidence from the British elections

Muller, Daniel and Page, Lionel (2015). A new approach to measure tactical voting: evidence from the British elections. Applied Economics, 47 (36), 3839-3858. doi: 10.1080/00036846.2015.1019037

The inner quality of an article: Will time tell?

Chan, Ho Fai, Guillot, Malka, Page, Lionel and Torgler, Benno (2015). The inner quality of an article: Will time tell?. Scientometrics, 104 (1), 19-41. doi: 10.1007/s11192-015-1581-y

Exit polls, turnout, and bandwagon voting: Evidence from a natural experiment

Morton, Rebecca B., Muller, Daniel, Page, Lionel and Torgler, Benno (2015). Exit polls, turnout, and bandwagon voting: Evidence from a natural experiment. European Economic Review, 77, 65-81. doi: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2015.03.012

Variation in risk seeking behaviour following large losses: A natural experiment

Page, Lionel, Savage, David A. and Torgler, Benno (2014). Variation in risk seeking behaviour following large losses: A natural experiment. European Economic Review, 71, 121-131. doi: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2014.04.009

Cortisol shifts financial risk preferences Narayanan Kandasamy1

Hardy, Ben, Page, Lionel, Schaffner, Markus, Graggaber, Johann, Powlson, Andrew S., Fletcher, Paul C., Gurnell, Mark and Coates, John (2014). Cortisol shifts financial risk preferences Narayanan Kandasamy1. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 111 (9), 3608-3613. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1317908111

Students' perceptions of teacher biases: Experimental economics in schools

Ouazad, Amine and Page, Lionel (2013). Students' perceptions of teacher biases: Experimental economics in schools. Journal of Public Economics, 105, 116-130. doi: 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2013.05.002

Do Prediction Markets Produce Well-Calibrated Probability Forecasts?

Page, Lionel and Clemen, Robert T. (2013). Do Prediction Markets Produce Well-Calibrated Probability Forecasts?. Economic Journal, 123 (568), 491-513. doi: 10.1111/j.1468-0297.2012.02561.x

The Effect of Employment while in High School on Educational Attainment: A Conditional Difference-in-Differences Approach

Buscha, Franz, Maurel, Arnaud, Page, Lionel and Speckesser, Stefan (2012). The Effect of Employment while in High School on Educational Attainment: A Conditional Difference-in-Differences Approach. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 74 (3), 380-396. doi: 10.1111/j.1468-0084.2011.00650.x

'it ain't over till it's over.' Yogi Berra bias on prediction markets

Page, Lionel (2012). 'it ain't over till it's over.' Yogi Berra bias on prediction markets. Applied Economics, 44 (1), 81-92. doi: 10.1080/00036846.2010.498578

Alone against the crowd: Individual differences in referees' ability to cope under pressure

Page, Katie and Page, Lionel (2010). Alone against the crowd: Individual differences in referees' ability to cope under pressure. Journal of Economic Psychology, 31 (2), 192-199. doi: 10.1016/j.joep.2009.08.007

Last shall be first: A field study of biases in sequential performance evaluation on the Idol series

Page, Lionel and Page, Katie (2010). Last shall be first: A field study of biases in sequential performance evaluation on the Idol series. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 73 (2), 186-198. doi: 10.1016/j.jebo.2009.08.012

Experimental Economies method to study pupils motivation

Page, Lionel (2010). Experimental Economies method to study pupils motivation. Revue d'Economie Politique, 120 (5), 779-792. doi: 10.3917/redp.205.0779

A note on trader sharpe ratios

Coates, John M. and Page, Lionel (2009). A note on trader sharpe ratios. PLoS ONE, 4 (11) e8036. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0008036

Is there an optimistic bias on betting markets?

Page, Lionel (2009). Is there an optimistic bias on betting markets?. Economics Letters, 102 (2), 70-72. doi: 10.1016/j.econlet.2008.10.006

Stakes and Motivation in Tournaments: Playing When There is Nothing to Play for but Pride

Page, Lionel and Page, Katie (2009). Stakes and Motivation in Tournaments: Playing When There is Nothing to Play for but Pride. Economic Analysis and Policy, 39 (3), 455-464. doi: 10.1016/S0313-5926(09)50039-2

Who studies abroad? Evidence from France and Italy

Di Pietro, Giorgio and Page, Lionel (2008). Who studies abroad? Evidence from France and Italy. European Journal of Education, 43 (3), 389-398. doi: 10.1111/j.1465-3435.2008.00355.x

Aspiration levels and educational choices: An experimental study

Page, Lionel, Levy Garboua, Louis and Montmarquette, Claude (2007). Aspiration levels and educational choices: An experimental study. Economics of Education Review, 26 (6), 747-757. doi: 10.1016/j.econedurev.2007.06.001

The second leg home advantage: evidence from European football cup competitions

Page, Lionel and Page, Katie (2007). The second leg home advantage: evidence from European football cup competitions. Journal of Sports Sciences, 25 (14), 1547-1556. doi: 10.1080/02640410701275219

From social inequalities to educational inequalities: Educational choices and prospect theory Des inégalités sociales aux inégalités scolaires: Choix éducatifs et Prospect Theory

Page, Lionel (2005). From social inequalities to educational inequalities: Educational choices and prospect theory Des inégalités sociales aux inégalités scolaires: Choix éducatifs et Prospect Theory. Revue Economique, 56 (3), 615-624. doi: 10.3917/reco.563.0615

I take care of my own: A field study on how leadership handles conflict between individual and collective incentives

Gauriot, Romain and Page, Lionel (2015). I take care of my own: A field study on how leadership handles conflict between individual and collective incentives. American Economic Association. doi: 10.1257/aer.p20151019

Back to the grind: How attention affects satisfaction during goal pursuit

Carton, Andrew M., Larrick, Richard P. and Page, Lionel (2011). Back to the grind: How attention affects satisfaction during goal pursuit. Academy of Management. doi: 10.5464/AMBPP.2011.242.a

Long-lasting effects of relative age at school

Page, Lionel, Sarkar, Dipanwita and Silva-Goncalves, Juliana (2019). Long-lasting effects of relative age at school. LCC Working Paper Series. 2019-04. Institute for Social Science Research, The University of Queensland.